As President Obama barnstorms the country with high-wattage celebrities, designed to maximize news coverage of rallies where he delivers his closing argument for re-election, campaign staffers in Chicago are projecting serious confidence about the election results. The convention center at McCormick Place is a flurry of activity as it is outfitted for a speech from President Obama tomorrow night, and early voting tallies in particular have Obama for America officials sure that it will be a victory address, and not a concession speech.
“The math is clear. Our opponent is losing among early voters in
nearly every public poll in every battleground state,” OFA national
field director Jeremy Bird told reporters late Monday afternoon. “We’re
confident a big showing on one day can’t match the votes we’ve already
banked over the last month.”
He noted that, because of the large gains already made by Obama in
many early-voting swing states, Mitt Romney has an incredibly tough job
on Election Day. In North Carolina, for example, Romney must win 65
percent of the voters tomorrow in order to carry the state. In Iowa and
Colorado, he needs 59 percent of the voters tomorrow; and 58 percent in
Nevada, 55 percent in Florida and Ohio, and 52 percent in Virginia and
And it’s not just as simple as having gotten more Democrats to
vote—OFA has specifically targeted sporadic voters for early voting.
These are people the campaign believes would be less likely to show up
to the polls on Election Day itself, so it uses the days, and in some
cases weeks, of early voting to persuade them.
Bird said that in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, North Carolina, and
Nevada, 1.4 million Democrats who didn’t vote in the midterm elections
have already cast ballots this year—compared to 840,000 sporadic
Republican voters. POST