Friday, October 19, 2012

2012 Polls Offer Mixed Message: Barack Obama Holds Edge In Swing States, Close Contest Nationwide

As they often do, the new polls released on Thursday sent something of a mixed message on where the presidential race now stands.

Two new NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist College polls gave President Barack Obama comfortable leads in two battleground states, Iowa and Wisconsin, while a new Gallup Daily tracking poll gave Republican nominee Mitt Romney a 7-point lead nationwide. Not surprisingly, another dozen or so polls conducted nationally and in key states found results somewhere in between.

At the national level, the Gallup Poll got the headlines (see this Huffington Post report for discussion of why its results look so different), but four other national daily tracking surveys showed a closer race, with results ranging from a 2-point Romney edge to a 3-point Obama advantage. POST

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