Wednesday, November 16, 2011

Good News for Senator Gillibrand

Buzz has been building over the possibility that former Republican comptroller candidate Harry Wilson will run against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand for the U.S. Senate.

A new poll today out from Siena throws some cold-water on the possibility.

According to the survey Senator Gillibrand now has a two-to-one favorability rating (49-25 percent), and 53 percent of voters saying they are prepared to re-elect her. Plus, she now leads Mr. Wilson 63-21 percent.

Nassau County Comptroller George Maragos, who has been running against Sen. Gillibrand almost since the day he won his seat, fares even worse, getting trounced by Ms. Gillibrand 65-17. The poll points out that both Mr. Wilson and Mr. Maragos are unknown to more than three-quarters of voters and both are viewed unfavorably by more than twice as many as view them favorably.

Siena has been something of a cruel pollster for both Ms. Gillibrand and Mr. Wilson. In September, one their surveys showed her at below the 50 percent favorability threshold, leading Republicans to search for a more viable contender than Mr. Maragos. Enter Mr. Wilson. But when he ran for comptroller, one of their surveys gave his opponent, Tom DiNapoli, a huge lead, leading the Wilson campaign to file a formal complaint with the American Association of Public Opinion Researchers.

Mr. DiNapoli went on to win by four points.

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